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Backwardation

"Backwardation occurs when the futures price of an asset trades below the expected future spot price for that asset. A downward-sloping futures curve reflects this relationship, with shorter-dated futures contracts priced higher than longer-dated ones.


Backwardation is less common for a futures curve. For futures tied to measures of volatility, backwardation can be a sign that concern about immediate risks is plaguing investors' minds. In commodity futures, backwardation can be sparked by geopolitical instability or strong near-term demand."



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